Goal expectancy
0.97Expected goals0.53
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Sonabel
Estimated win chances: Sonabel 45.1%, draw 35.3%, Asfb 19.6%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoLow
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
59BuildingSonabel
Weighted momentum
Sonabel carries the sharper recent run (+23 momentum).
36Cold spellAsfb
Sonabel · Structured / conservativeAsfb · Structured / conservative
Sonabel
13W · 13D · 3LRecent →WDDDWWDDWDWWLWDDDDDLWWWLDWDWW
Momentum index
Asfb
5W · 15D · 9LRecent →DDDLDDWDLDDLDWDDLDWWDLDWLLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSonabel +22
Sonabel
52 pts45% wins
13W · 13D · 3L · 29 played
For26
Against13
Asfb
30 pts17% wins
5W · 15D · 9L · 29 played
For15
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sonabel offensive edge
Sonabel's attack (86%) vs Asfb's defense (43%).
+43 - Asfb offensive edge
Asfb runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-43
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SonabelStructured / conservative
AsfbStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Sonabel40%
1Draws
2Asfb40%