Goal expectancy
1.41Expected goals0.79
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Sonabel
Estimated win chances: Sonabel 51.7%, draw 27.3%, Rahimo 21%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
75Hot streakSonabel
Weighted momentum
Sonabel carries the sharper recent run (+53 momentum).
22Cold spellRahimo
Sonabel · compact defense · hot formRahimo · low scoring · cold form
Sonabel
6W · 2D · 1LRecent →WWWLDWDWW
Momentum index
Rahimo
2W · 1D · 6LRecent →LLLWLLDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSonabel +13
Sonabel
20 pts67% wins
6W · 2D · 1L · 9 played
For11
Against4
Rahimo
7 pts22% wins
2W · 1D · 6L · 9 played
For7
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sonabel offensive edge
Sonabel's attack (60%) vs Rahimo's defense (20%).
+40 - Rahimo offensive edge
Rahimo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sonabelcompact defense · hot form
Rahimolow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Sonabel50%
1Draws
1Rahimo25%