Goal expectancy
0.88Expected goals0.92
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Sonacos 32.5%, draw 32.9%, Hlm 34.7%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoLow
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellSonacos
Weighted momentum
Hlm arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).
36Cold spellHlm
Sonacos · low scoring · cold formHlm · Structured / conservative
Sonacos
4W · 12D · 12LRecent →DLDDDLWLLDLLLDDDLDLLLWDWDLWD
Momentum index
Hlm
4W · 17D · 7LRecent →LDDWLDLWLWDDDDDLDLWDDDDDLDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapHlm +5
Sonacos
24 pts14% wins
4W · 12D · 12L · 28 played
For17
Against37
Hlm
29 pts14% wins
4W · 17D · 7L · 28 played
For16
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sonacos offensive edge
Sonacos faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-16 - Hlm offensive edge
Hlm's attack (60%) vs Sonacos's defense (44%).
+16
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sonacoslow scoring · cold form
HlmStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sonacos33%
2Draws
0Hlm0%