Goal expectancy
1.66Expected goals1.51
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Sonthofen
Estimated win chances: Sonthofen 41.5%, draw 23.5%, Kottern 35%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedSonthofen
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
44MixedKottern
Sonthofen · leaky defense
Sonthofen
7W · 1D · 10LRecent →LLLWWDLWWLLWWLWLLL
Momentum index
Kottern
8W · 4D · 6LRecent →DLLWDLLDLWWWWWWWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKottern +6
Sonthofen
22 pts39% wins
7W · 1D · 10L · 18 played
For29
Against31
Kottern
28 pts44% wins
8W · 4D · 6L · 18 played
For32
Against27
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sonthofen offensive edge
Sonthofen's attack (60%) vs Kottern's defense (59%).
+1 - Kottern offensive edge
Kottern runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-1
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sonthofenleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sonthofen100%
0Draws
0Kottern0%