Sora 4-1 Matese Prediction

SoraSora
4 — 1FT
MateseMatese
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

SoraSoravsMateseMatese

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Sora

Estimated win chances: Sora 47.5%, draw 27.8%, Matese 24.7%. From 24 and 23 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.35Expected goals0.89

From 24 and 23 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–014.6%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 0–19.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

37Cold spellSora
Weighted momentum

Sora carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).

22Cold spellMatese
Sora · low scoring · cold formMatese · low scoring · cold form

Sora

6W · 9D · 9L
Recent →LWDLDWLLDDDWDLLDWLDDWWLL
Momentum index

Matese

4W · 5D · 14L
Recent →DLLWLLLLDDLDLLDLLWWWLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Sora

27 pts
25% wins

6W · 9D · 9L · 24 played

For
20
Against
26
Goal diff -6

Matese

17 pts
17% wins

4W · 5D · 14L · 23 played

For
16
Against
36
Goal diff -20

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Sora offensive edge

    Sora's attack (50%) vs Matese's defense (36%).

    +14
  • Matese offensive edge

    Matese runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -14

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Sora50
Matese50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Sora64
Matese36

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Sora37
Matese22

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Sora78
Matese22

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Sora30
Matese32

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Sora56
Matese44

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Sora100
Matese0
Soralow scoring · cold form
Mateselow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Sora0%
0Draws
1Matese100%

Recent meetings

Matese
0 – 1FT
Sora

Serie D - Girone FGroup F, matchday 8