Goal expectancy
1.38Expected goals1.17
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Sousa 0-1 Campinense Prediction
Balanced — model leans Sousa
Estimated win chances: Sousa 41.7%, draw 26.5%, Campinense 31.8%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingSousa
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
54BuildingCampinense
Sousa · compact defense
Sousa
4W · 3D · 2LRecent →WDDWLWDLW
Momentum index
Campinense
4W · 3D · 2LRecent →LDWWWDDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Sousa
15 pts44% wins
4W · 3D · 2L · 9 played
For13
Against8
Campinense
15 pts44% wins
4W · 3D · 2L · 9 played
For14
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sousa offensive edge
Sousa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Campinense offensive edge
Campinense's attack (54%) vs Sousa's defense (43%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sousacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Sousa38%
2Draws
3Campinense38%