Goal expectancy
1.16Expected goals1.23
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Sousense 1-1 Salgueiros Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Sousense 34.4%, draw 27.7%, Salgueiros 37.8%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
14Cold spellSousense
Weighted momentum
Salgueiros arrives with stronger form weighting (+23 momentum).
37Cold spellSalgueiros
Sousense · High-risk / fragileSalgueiros · Structured / conservative
Sousense
0W · 2D · 4LRecent →DLDLLL
Momentum index
Salgueiros
1W · 4D · 1LRecent →LDWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSalgueiros +5
Sousense
2 pts0% wins
0W · 2D · 4L · 6 played
For5
Against12
Salgueiros
7 pts17% wins
1W · 4D · 1L · 6 played
For4
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sousense offensive edge
Sousense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-8 - Salgueiros offensive edge
Salgueiros's attack (38%) vs Sousense's defense (29%).
+9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SousenseHigh-risk / fragile
SalgueirosStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sousense100%
0Draws
0Salgueiros0%