Southampton 1-1 Brighton Prediction

SouthamptonSouthampton
1 — 1FT
BrightonBrighton
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

SouthamptonSouthamptonvsBrightonBrighton

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Southampton

Estimated win chances: Southampton 43.8%, draw 27.3%, Brighton 28.8%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.35Expected goals1.04

From 24 and 24 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–012.6%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 2–18.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

26Cold spellSouthampton
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

29Cold spellBrighton
Southampton · low scoring · cold formBrighton · low scoring · cold form

Southampton

4W · 10D · 10L
Recent →DDLDLDLLDDLWLLDWDLLWLDWD
Momentum index

Brighton

5W · 8D · 11L
Recent →LLDDLWDLLLDLDWDWDLWLWDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapBrighton +1

Southampton

22 pts
17% wins

4W · 10D · 10L · 24 played

For
24
Against
35
Goal diff -11

Brighton

23 pts
21% wins

5W · 8D · 11L · 24 played

For
17
Against
33
Goal diff -16

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Southampton offensive edge

    Southampton's attack (75%) vs Brighton's defense (50%).

    +25
  • Brighton offensive edge

    Brighton runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -25

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Southampton75
Brighton25

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Southampton50
Brighton50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Southampton26
Brighton29

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Southampton100
Brighton0

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Southampton30
Brighton30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Southampton60
Brighton40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Southampton50
Brighton50
Southamptonlow scoring · cold form
Brightonlow scoring · cold form