Spal 3-0 Gubbio Prediction

SpalSpal
3 — 0FT
GubbioGubbio
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

SpalSpalvsGubbioGubbio

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Spal 35.2%, draw 29.1%, Gubbio 35.7%. From 34 and 34 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.10Expected goals1.11

From 34 and 34 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–112.3%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–011.1%
  • 1–27.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

38Cold spellSpal
Weighted momentum

Gubbio arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).

54BuildingGubbio
Spal · low scoring · cold form

Spal

8W · 13D · 13L
Recent →DDLWLWDDWWLLLDDWDDDDLLLDWLDDLLLWLW
Momentum index

Gubbio

15W · 9D · 10L
Recent →WLLLWDWDLWWWWDWWWLDLWLDLDWLWLWDDWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapGubbio +17

Spal

37 pts
24% wins

8W · 13D · 13L · 34 played

For
30
Against
38
Goal diff -8

Gubbio

54 pts
44% wins

15W · 9D · 10L · 34 played

For
44
Against
33
Goal diff +11

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Spal offensive edge

    Spal's attack (50%) vs Gubbio's defense (45%).

    +5
  • Gubbio offensive edge

    Gubbio runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Spal50
Gubbio50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Spal55
Gubbio45

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Spal38
Gubbio54

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Spal60
Gubbio40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Spal30
Gubbio30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Spal45
Gubbio55

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Spal50
Gubbio50
Spallow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Spal0%
1Draws
0Gubbio0%

Recent meetings

Gubbio
0 – 0FT
Spal

Serie C - Girone BGirone B, round 16