Goal expectancy
1.72Expected goals1.32
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Sporting Cristal 2-2 Cusco Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Sporting Cristal
Estimated win chances: Sporting Cristal 46.9%, draw 23.6%, Cusco 29.5%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
36Cold spellSporting Cristal
Weighted momentum
Cusco arrives with stronger form weighting (+26 momentum).
62BuildingCusco
Sporting Cristal · High-risk / fragile
Sporting Cristal
4W · 2D · 6LRecent →LLWLLWWLDWLD
Momentum index
Cusco
6W · 1D · 5LRecent →WWLWWLWLWLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCusco +5
Sporting Cristal
14 pts33% wins
4W · 2D · 6L · 12 played
For20
Against20
Cusco
19 pts50% wins
6W · 1D · 5L · 12 played
For15
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sporting Cristal offensive edge
Sporting Cristal faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-5 - Cusco offensive edge
Cusco's attack (53%) vs Sporting Cristal's defense (48%).
+5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sporting CristalHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
9Sporting Cristal90%
1Draws
0Cusco0%