Goal expectancy
0.88Expected goals1.66
From 13 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
ST Johnstone 1-3 Celtic Prediction
Balanced — model leans Celtic
Estimated win chances: St Johnstone 19.8%, draw 24.4%, Celtic 55.8%. From 13 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellSt Johnstone
Weighted momentum
Celtic arrives with stronger form weighting (+48 momentum).
83Hot streakCeltic
St Johnstone · low scoring · cold formCeltic · compact defense · hot form
St Johnstone
2W · 5D · 6LRecent →LWDWLDDLLDDLL
Momentum index
Celtic
11W · 3D · 0LRecent →DWWWDWWWWWWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
St Johnstone
11 pts15% wins
2W · 5D · 6L · 13 played
For8
Against19
Celtic
36 pts79% wins
11W · 3D · 0L · 14 played
For35
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- St Johnstone offensive edge
St Johnstone faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-51 - Celtic offensive edge
Celtic's attack (71%) vs St Johnstone's defense (20%).
+51
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
St Johnstonelow scoring · cold form
Celticcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1St Johnstone25%
1Draws
2Celtic50%