Goal expectancy
1.46Expected goals1.07
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
St Patrick's Athl. 4-1 Drogheda United Prediction
Balanced — model leans St Patrick's Athl.
Estimated win chances: St Patrick's Athl. 46.1%, draw 26.2%, Drogheda United 27.7%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
76Hot streakSt Patrick's Athl.
Weighted momentum
St Patrick's Athl. carries the sharper recent run (+42 momentum).
34Cold spellDrogheda United
St Patrick's Athl. · compact defense · hot formDrogheda United · cold form
St Patrick's Athl.
3W · 1D · 1LRecent →WWWLD
Momentum index
Drogheda United
2W · 1D · 2LRecent →LLDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSt Patrick's Athl. +3
St Patrick's Athl.
10 pts60% wins
3W · 1D · 1L · 5 played
For8
Against4
Drogheda United
7 pts40% wins
2W · 1D · 2L · 5 played
For6
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- St Patrick's Athl. offensive edge
St Patrick's Athl.'s attack (57%) vs Drogheda United's defense (44%).
+13 - Drogheda United offensive edge
Drogheda United runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
St Patrick's Athl.compact defense · hot form
Drogheda Unitedcold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2St Patrick's Athl.25%
5Draws
1Drogheda United13%