Goal expectancy
1.82Expected goals1.12
From 16 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans St. Peter
Estimated win chances: St. Peter 53.8%, draw 23%, Ortmann 23.3%. From 16 and 17 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedSt. Peter
Weighted momentum
St. Peter carries the sharper recent run (+22 momentum).
27Cold spellOrtmann
Ortmann · High-risk / fragile
St. Peter
7W · 2D · 7LRecent →WLWLWDDWLLLWLWLW
Momentum index
Ortmann
2W · 5D · 10LRecent →DLWLDWLLDLDLLLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
St. Peter
23 pts44% wins
7W · 2D · 7L · 16 played
For25
Against22
Ortmann
11 pts12% wins
2W · 5D · 10L · 17 played
For17
Against32
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- St. Peter offensive edge
St. Peter's attack (60%) vs Ortmann's defense (50%).
+10 - Ortmann offensive edge
Ortmann runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
OrtmannHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1St. Peter33%
1Draws
1Ortmann33%