Goal expectancy
1.88Expected goals1.45
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
St. Valentin 1-1 Pregarten Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans St. Valentin
Estimated win chances: St. Valentin 47.8%, draw 22.4%, Pregarten 29.8%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
39Cold spellSt. Valentin
Weighted momentum
St. Valentin carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).
19Cold spellPregarten
St. Valentin · High-risk / fragilePregarten · High-risk / fragile
St. Valentin
1W · 1D · 2LRecent →WLLD
Momentum index
Pregarten
0W · 2D · 2LRecent →DLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSt. Valentin +2
St. Valentin
4 pts25% wins
1W · 1D · 2L · 4 played
For8
Against11
Pregarten
2 pts0% wins
0W · 2D · 2L · 4 played
For4
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- St. Valentin offensive edge
St. Valentin's attack (67%) vs Pregarten's defense (55%).
+12 - Pregarten offensive edge
Pregarten runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
St. ValentinHigh-risk / fragile
PregartenHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2St. Valentin29%
2Draws
3Pregarten43%