Goal expectancy
1.69Expected goals1.40
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Stade Beaucairois 1-1 Carnoux Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Stade Beaucairois
Estimated win chances: Stade Beaucairois 44.5%, draw 23.6%, Carnoux 31.9%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
43MixedStade Beaucairois
Weighted momentum
Stade Beaucairois carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).
33Cold spellCarnoux
Stade Beaucairois · low scoringCarnoux · High-risk / fragile
Stade Beaucairois
6W · 2D · 8LRecent →LWWLWWLLLLLLWDDW
Momentum index
Carnoux
4W · 3D · 9LRecent →WLDLWLDLLWLLLDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapStade Beaucairois +5
Stade Beaucairois
20 pts38% wins
6W · 2D · 8L · 16 played
For12
Against23
Carnoux
15 pts25% wins
4W · 3D · 9L · 16 played
For28
Against38
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Stade Beaucairois offensive edge
Stade Beaucairois faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-5 - Carnoux offensive edge
Carnoux's attack (72%) vs Stade Beaucairois's defense (67%).
+5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Stade Beaucairoislow scoring
CarnouxHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Stade Beaucairois0%
1Draws
0Carnoux0%