Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.33
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Staphorst 38.8%, draw 25.6%, Urk 35.6%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellStaphorst
Weighted momentum
Urk arrives with stronger form weighting (+45 momentum).
78Hot streakUrk
Staphorst · low scoring · cold formUrk · hot form
Staphorst
1W · 0D · 2LRecent →LWL
Momentum index
Urk
2W · 1D · 0LRecent →WDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUrk +4
Staphorst
3 pts33% wins
1W · 0D · 2L · 3 played
For3
Against4
Urk
7 pts67% wins
2W · 1D · 0L · 3 played
For6
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Staphorst offensive edge
Staphorst faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-17 - Urk offensive edge
Urk's attack (67%) vs Staphorst's defense (50%).
+17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Staphorstlow scoring · cold form
Urkhot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Staphorst33%
0Draws
2Urk67%