Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.03
From 39 and 41 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Stevenage
Estimated win chances: Stevenage 46.5%, draw 26.5%, Blackpool 27%. From 39 and 41 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedStevenage
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
43MixedBlackpool
Stevenage
17W · 10D · 12LRecent →DWLWLWWLWWLLWDDLLDLDDWLDWDLDLWWWDWLWWWW
Momentum index
Blackpool
13W · 9D · 19LRecent →WWDWLLDLDWLDLLWLLLWWWDWLDLWWDLLDLWLDLLWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Stevenage
61 pts44% wins
17W · 10D · 12L · 39 played
For41
Against38
Blackpool
48 pts32% wins
13W · 9D · 19L · 41 played
For48
Against63
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Stevenage offensive edge
Stevenage faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Blackpool offensive edge
Blackpool's attack (67%) vs Stevenage's defense (57%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Stevenage43%
1Draws
3Blackpool43%