Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.41
From 23 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Strasbourg 1-1 Lens Prediction
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Strasbourg 38.2%, draw 25%, Lens 36.8%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedStrasbourg
Weighted momentum
Lens arrives with stronger form weighting (+33 momentum).
78Hot streakLens
Lens · compact defense · hot form
Strasbourg
10W · 4D · 9LRecent →WDLLWWDDLLLWLWLDWLWWLWW
Momentum index
Lens
17W · 1D · 5LRecent →LWWWLWWWWWWWWLWWWDWLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLens +18
Strasbourg
34 pts43% wins
10W · 4D · 9L · 23 played
For39
Against30
Lens
52 pts74% wins
17W · 1D · 5L · 23 played
For44
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Strasbourg offensive edge
Strasbourg faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-5 - Lens offensive edge
Lens's attack (52%) vs Strasbourg's defense (47%).
+5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Lenscompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Strasbourg44%
2Draws
3Lens33%