Goal expectancy
1.73Expected goals1.23
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Strogino
Estimated win chances: Strogino 49.1%, draw 23.7%, Kvant 27.2%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellStrogino
Weighted momentum
Kvant arrives with stronger form weighting (+12 momentum).
41MixedKvant
Strogino · cold formKvant · leaky defense
Strogino
4W · 2D · 8LRecent →LDDLWLWLLLLLWW
Momentum index
Kvant
3W · 4D · 7LRecent →WDDWLDDWLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapStrogino +1
Strogino
14 pts29% wins
4W · 2D · 8L · 14 played
For17
Against22
Kvant
13 pts21% wins
3W · 4D · 7L · 14 played
For15
Against29
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Strogino offensive edge
Strogino faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-27 - Kvant offensive edge
Kvant's attack (70%) vs Strogino's defense (43%).
+27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Stroginocold form
Kvantleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Strogino50%
1Draws
2Kvant33%