Suchitepéquez 3-1 Malacateco Prediction

SuchitepéquezSuchitepéquez
3 — 1FT
MalacatecoMalacateco
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Updated

SuchitepéquezSuchitepéquezvsMalacatecoMalacateco

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Suchitepéquez

Estimated win chances: Suchitepéquez 40.6%, draw 25.1%, Malacateco 34.3%. From 26 and 28 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.48Expected goals1.34

From 26 and 28 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–19%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 1–28.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

44MixedSuchitepéquez
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

41MixedMalacateco
Suchitepéquez · leaky defense

Suchitepéquez

8W · 9D · 9L
Recent →LWDDWLDWDLDWLWDLWDLDLWLWDL
Momentum index

Malacateco

9W · 9D · 10L
Recent →WDLDLWLLWDDDLWLDDWWDLWLDLLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Suchitepéquez

33 pts
31% wins

8W · 9D · 9L · 26 played

For
42
Against
46
Goal diff -4

Malacateco

36 pts
32% wins

9W · 9D · 10L · 28 played

For
34
Against
30
Goal diff +4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Suchitepéquez offensive edge

    Suchitepéquez's attack (77%) vs Malacateco's defense (62%).

    +15
  • Malacateco offensive edge

    Malacateco runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -15

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Suchitepéquez77
Malacateco23

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Suchitepéquez38
Malacateco62

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Suchitepéquez44
Malacateco41

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Suchitepéquez80
Malacateco20

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Suchitepéquez37
Malacateco30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Suchitepéquez62
Malacateco38

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Suchitepéquez50
Malacateco50
Suchitepéquezleaky defense