Goal expectancy
1.36Expected goals1.43
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Super Nova 2 0-3 Riga Mariners Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Super Nova 2 35.8%, draw 25.3%, Riga Mariners 38.9%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
43MixedSuper Nova 2
Weighted momentum
Riga Mariners arrives with stronger form weighting (+23 momentum).
66BuildingRiga Mariners
Riga Mariners · compact defense · hot form
Super Nova 2
5W · 5D · 4LRecent →DLDWLDWWLLDWDW
Momentum index
Riga Mariners
8W · 5D · 1LRecent →DLWWWDWWDWDWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRiga Mariners +9
Super Nova 2
20 pts36% wins
5W · 5D · 4L · 14 played
For21
Against20
Riga Mariners
29 pts57% wins
8W · 5D · 1L · 14 played
For27
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Super Nova 2 offensive edge
Super Nova 2 faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-33 - Riga Mariners offensive edge
Riga Mariners's attack (53%) vs Super Nova 2's defense (20%).
+33
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Riga Marinerscompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Super Nova 20%
1Draws
0Riga Mariners0%