Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals1.86
From 34 and 34 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Super Nova 1-3 Rīgas FS Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Rīgas Fs
Estimated win chances: Super Nova 25.7%, draw 22.7%, Rīgas Fs 51.7%. From 34 and 34 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
27Cold spellSuper Nova
Weighted momentum
Rīgas Fs arrives with stronger form weighting (+53 momentum).
80Hot streakRīgas Fs
Super Nova · cold formRīgas Fs · hot form
Super Nova
5W · 14D · 15LRecent →DDDLLLLWLDDLWLDLLLWDDDDWLDLDDLDLWL
Momentum index
Rīgas Fs
26W · 3D · 5LRecent →WWWDDWLWWWWWWWWWLWWWWLWDWLWWWLWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRīgas Fs +52
Super Nova
29 pts15% wins
5W · 14D · 15L · 34 played
For40
Against53
Rīgas Fs
81 pts76% wins
26W · 3D · 5L · 34 played
For93
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Super Nova offensive edge
Super Nova faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-35 - Rīgas Fs offensive edge
Rīgas Fs's attack (73%) vs Super Nova's defense (38%).
+35
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Super Novacold form
Rīgas Fshot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Super Nova60%
0Draws
2Rīgas Fs40%