Goal expectancy
1.69Expected goals1.45
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Supra du Quebec 1-1 Forge Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Supra Du Quebec
Estimated win chances: Supra Du Quebec 43.4%, draw 23.5%, Forge 33.1%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
72Hot streakSupra Du Quebec
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
78Hot streakForge
Supra Du Quebec · Open but unstableForge · compact defense · hot form
Supra Du Quebec
2W · 1D · 0LRecent →DWW
Momentum index
Forge
2W · 1D · 0LRecent →WDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Supra Du Quebec
7 pts67% wins
2W · 1D · 0L · 3 played
For9
Against5
Forge
7 pts67% wins
2W · 1D · 0L · 3 played
For7
Against2
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Supra Du Quebec offensive edge
Supra Du Quebec faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Forge offensive edge
Forge's attack (44%) vs Supra Du Quebec's defense (29%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Supra Du QuebecOpen but unstable
Forgecompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Supra Du Quebec75%
0Draws
1Forge25%