Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals0.93
From 23 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Sur 1-0 Al Bashair Prediction
Balanced — model leans Sur
Estimated win chances: Sur 46.5%, draw 27.7%, Al Bashair 25.8%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
27Cold spellSur
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
22Cold spellAl Bashair
Sur · low scoring · cold formAl Bashair · low scoring · cold form
Sur
6W · 3D · 14LRecent →DLLLWLLLDLLWWLWDLLWLLLW
Momentum index
Al Bashair
3W · 4D · 16LRecent →LWLLDLDLLLWLLLWDDLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSur +8
Sur
21 pts26% wins
6W · 3D · 14L · 23 played
For18
Against28
Al Bashair
13 pts13% wins
3W · 4D · 16L · 23 played
For16
Against37
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sur offensive edge
Sur's attack (57%) vs Al Bashair's defense (43%).
+14 - Al Bashair offensive edge
Al Bashair runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Surlow scoring · cold form
Al Bashairlow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sur50%
0Draws
1Al Bashair50%