Goal expectancy
1.92Expected goals1.19
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Sursee
Estimated win chances: Sursee 54.4%, draw 22.2%, Thalwil 23.4%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
78Hot streakSursee
Weighted momentum
Sursee carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).
61BuildingThalwil
Sursee · hot form
Sursee
13W · 1D · 4LRecent →WWWWWWDWLLWWLWWLWW
Momentum index
Thalwil
8W · 4D · 6LRecent →WWLDWWWWDWDLLLLLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSursee +12
Sursee
40 pts72% wins
13W · 1D · 4L · 18 played
For41
Against24
Thalwil
28 pts44% wins
8W · 4D · 6L · 18 played
For23
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sursee offensive edge
Sursee's attack (64%) vs Thalwil's defense (54%).
+10 - Thalwil offensive edge
Thalwil runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Surseehot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Sursee0%
0Draws
1Thalwil100%