Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals1.51
From 42 and 40 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Sutton Utd 0-3 Southend Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Southend
Estimated win chances: Sutton Utd 33.7%, draw 24.9%, Southend 41.4%. From 42 and 40 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedSutton Utd
Weighted momentum
Southend arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).
56BuildingSouthend
Sutton Utd · leaky defense
Sutton Utd
11W · 14D · 17LRecent →DLWLDWLWDLWWDLDWDLLDLWWWDWLDDLDDLLLLWLLLDD
Momentum index
Southend
19W · 11D · 10LRecent →WWDLWWDDDLWWLLDWDWWLLWWLDWWWDLLDWLWDWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Sutton Utd
47 pts26% wins
11W · 14D · 17L · 42 played
For58
Against70
Southend
68 pts48% wins
19W · 11D · 10L · 40 played
For67
Against40
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Sutton Utd offensive edge
Sutton Utd faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Southend offensive edge
Southend's attack (60%) vs Sutton Utd's defense (47%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sutton Utdleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Sutton Utd33%
1Draws
1Southend33%