Goal expectancy
1.63Expected goals1.54
From 30 and 30 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Tauras 40.2%, draw 23.5%, Vilnius 36.3%. From 30 and 30 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
20Cold spellTauras
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
16Cold spellVilnius
Tauras · High-risk / fragileVilnius · High-risk / fragile
Tauras
6W · 2D · 22LRecent →LLLDLLLLWLLLWLWLLWLLLDLLLWWLLL
Momentum index
Vilnius
5W · 4D · 21LRecent →LLLLLLLLLLLLLLWDWWLWLDLLWDLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTauras +1
Tauras
20 pts20% wins
6W · 2D · 22L · 30 played
For28
Against77
Vilnius
19 pts17% wins
5W · 4D · 21L · 30 played
For26
Against63
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tauras offensive edge
Tauras's attack (100%) vs Vilnius's defense (50%).
+50 - Vilnius offensive edge
Vilnius runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-50
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
TaurasHigh-risk / fragile
VilniusHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Tauras33%
0Draws
2Vilnius67%