Goal expectancy
1.72Expected goals1.95
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans B68
Estimated win chances: Tb 34.6%, draw 21.6%, B68 43.8%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
13Cold spellTb
Weighted momentum
B68 arrives with stronger form weighting (+18 momentum).
31Cold spellB68
Tb · High-risk / fragileB68 · High-risk / fragile
Tb
2W · 6D · 18LRecent →LLDLLLLDLWLLDLLLLDLLWLLLDD
Momentum index
B68
6W · 7D · 13LRecent →DLDLWDLDLLDLWLWLWDWLDLLLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapB68 +13
Tb
12 pts8% wins
2W · 6D · 18L · 26 played
For24
Against87
B68
25 pts23% wins
6W · 7D · 13L · 26 played
For34
Against60
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tb offensive edge
Tb faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-41 - B68 offensive edge
B68's attack (80%) vs Tb's defense (39%).
+41
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
TbHigh-risk / fragile
B68High-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Tb33%
4Draws
2B6822%