Team Thoren 4-0 IFK Umeå Prediction

Team ThorenTeam Thoren
4 — 0FT
IFK UmeåIFK Umeå

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Team Thoren

Estimated win chances: Team Thoren 60.7%, draw 19%, Ifk Umeå 20.3%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

2.38Expected goals1.33

From 14 and 14 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 2–110.3%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 2–26.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

37Cold spellTeam Thoren
Weighted momentum

Team Thoren carries the sharper recent run (+23 momentum).

14Cold spellIfk Umeå
Team Thoren · High-risk / fragileIfk Umeå · High-risk / fragile

Team Thoren

3W · 5D · 6L
Recent →WLDDWLDLDLDLWL
Momentum index

Ifk Umeå

1W · 1D · 12L
Recent →LLWDLLLLLLLLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapTeam Thoren +10

Team Thoren

14 pts
21% wins

3W · 5D · 6L · 14 played

For
25
Against
30
Goal diff -5

Ifk Umeå

4 pts
7% wins

1W · 1D · 12L · 14 played

For
13
Against
43
Goal diff -30

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Team Thoren offensive edge

    Team Thoren's attack (60%) vs Ifk Umeå's defense (43%).

    +17
  • Ifk Umeå offensive edge

    Ifk Umeå runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Team Thoren60
Ifk Umeå40

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Team Thoren57
Ifk Umeå43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Team Thoren37
Ifk Umeå14

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Team Thoren84
Ifk Umeå16

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Team Thoren43
Ifk Umeå65

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Team Thoren67
Ifk Umeå33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Team Thoren0
Ifk Umeå0
Team ThorenHigh-risk / fragile
Ifk UmeåHigh-risk / fragile