Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.16
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Tecos
Estimated win chances: Tecos 39.8%, draw 27.2%, Durango 33.1%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
56BuildingTecos
Weighted momentum
Durango arrives with stronger form weighting (+10 momentum).
66BuildingDurango
Durango · compact defense · hot form
Tecos
5W · 2D · 4LRecent →LWWWDWDLLLW
Momentum index
Durango
6W · 3D · 2LRecent →WWLLWWWDWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDurango +4
Tecos
17 pts45% wins
5W · 2D · 4L · 11 played
For18
Against12
Durango
21 pts55% wins
6W · 3D · 2L · 11 played
For15
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tecos offensive edge
Tecos's attack (56%) vs Durango's defense (44%).
+12 - Durango offensive edge
Durango runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Durangocompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Tecos25%
1Draws
2Durango50%