Goal expectancy
1.37Expected goals1.48
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Durango
Estimated win chances: Tecos 35%, draw 25%, Durango 40%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
43MixedTecos
Weighted momentum
Durango arrives with stronger form weighting (+13 momentum).
56BuildingDurango
Tecos · leaky defenseDurango · compact defense
Tecos
2W · 1D · 3LRecent →LWDWLL
Momentum index
Durango
2W · 4D · 0LRecent →DDWWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDurango +3
Tecos
7 pts33% wins
2W · 1D · 3L · 6 played
For9
Against10
Durango
10 pts33% wins
2W · 4D · 0L · 6 played
For12
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tecos offensive edge
Tecos faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-24 - Durango offensive edge
Durango's attack (55%) vs Tecos's defense (31%).
+24
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Tecosleaky defense
Durangocompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Tecos33%
2Draws
2Durango33%