Goal expectancy
1.16Expected goals0.96
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Telavi
Estimated win chances: Telavi 40.3%, draw 29.6%, Shturmi 30.1%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingTelavi
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
53BuildingShturmi
Telavi · compact defenseShturmi · compact defense
Telavi
11W · 8D · 6LRecent →DLLWDDWWWWWWDWLLLDDWWLDWD
Momentum index
Shturmi
10W · 9D · 6LRecent →WWLLWWDDLLWWDLDWLDWWDWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTelavi +2
Telavi
41 pts44% wins
11W · 8D · 6L · 25 played
For27
Against23
Shturmi
39 pts40% wins
10W · 9D · 6L · 25 played
For27
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Telavi offensive edge
Telavi faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Shturmi offensive edge
Shturmi's attack (62%) vs Telavi's defense (47%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Telavicompact defense
Shturmicompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Telavi0%
1Draws
1Shturmi50%