Goal expectancy
1.20Expected goals1.31
From 31 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Cadiz
Estimated win chances: Tenerife 33.9%, draw 26.9%, Cadiz 39.2%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
26Cold spellTenerife
Weighted momentum
Cadiz arrives with stronger form weighting (+28 momentum).
54BuildingCadiz
Tenerife · low scoring · cold form
Tenerife
5W · 7D · 19LRecent →LWLLLLWDLDWLLLLDLLWDDLLWLDLLDLL
Momentum index
Cadiz
11W · 11D · 9LRecent →WWLDWWDWWDDDWLLDWDLWLLDLLWDWDDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCadiz +22
Tenerife
22 pts16% wins
5W · 7D · 19L · 31 played
For26
Against46
Cadiz
44 pts35% wins
11W · 11D · 9L · 31 played
For42
Against39
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tenerife offensive edge
Tenerife faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-17 - Cadiz offensive edge
Cadiz's attack (55%) vs Tenerife's defense (38%).
+17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Tenerifelow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Tenerife25%
4Draws
2Cadiz25%