Terra e Mar 4-1 Aliança Prediction

Terra e MarTerra e Mar
4 — 1FT
AliançaAliança
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Terra E MarTerra E MarvsAliançaAliança

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Terra E Mar

Estimated win chances: Terra E Mar 43.3%, draw 25.2%, Aliança 31.5%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.51Expected goals1.25

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–27.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

36Cold spellTerra E Mar
Weighted momentum

Terra E Mar carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).

21Cold spellAliança
Terra E Mar · High-risk / fragileAliança · low scoring · cold form

Terra E Mar

2W · 0D · 3L
Recent →LWLLW
Momentum index

Aliança

1W · 1D · 3L
Recent →DLLLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapTerra E Mar +2

Terra E Mar

6 pts
40% wins

2W · 0D · 3L · 5 played

For
8
Against
10
Goal diff -2

Aliança

4 pts
20% wins

1W · 1D · 3L · 5 played

For
4
Against
6
Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Terra E Mar offensive edge

    Terra E Mar's attack (67%) vs Aliança's defense (63%).

    +4
  • Aliança offensive edge

    Aliança runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Terra E Mar67
Aliança33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Terra E Mar38
Aliança63

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Terra E Mar36
Aliança21

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Terra E Mar58
Aliança40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Terra E Mar41
Aliança30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Terra E Mar60
Aliança40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Terra E Mar0
Aliança0
Terra E MarHigh-risk / fragile
Aliançalow scoring · cold form