Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.55
From 3 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Tlaxcala 1-2 Cimarrones Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Cimarrones
Estimated win chances: Tlaxcala 34.4%, draw 24.5%, Cimarrones 41.1%. From 3 and 4 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
0Cold spellTlaxcala
Weighted momentum
Cimarrones arrives with stronger form weighting (+45 momentum).
45MixedCimarrones
Tlaxcala · High-risk / fragile
Tlaxcala
0W · 0D · 3LRecent →LLL
Momentum index
Cimarrones
1W · 2D · 1LRecent →DWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Tlaxcala
0 pts0% wins
0W · 0D · 3L · 3 played
For3
Against10
Cimarrones
5 pts25% wins
1W · 2D · 1L · 4 played
For5
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tlaxcala offensive edge
Tlaxcala faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-29 - Cimarrones offensive edge
Cimarrones's attack (63%) vs Tlaxcala's defense (33%).
+30
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
TlaxcalaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Tlaxcala83%
0Draws
1Cimarrones17%