Goal expectancy
1.39Expected goals1.15
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Tomares
Estimated win chances: Tomares 42.4%, draw 26.5%, Utrera 31.1%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedTomares
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
37Cold spellUtrera
Tomares · low scoringUtrera · cold form
Tomares
7W · 8D · 12LRecent →DWDLDDWLWLWLWDLWLLLLWDLLDLD
Momentum index
Utrera
7W · 6D · 14LRecent →LWDDWLDLLWWLDLWLDLWLLLDWLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTomares +2
Tomares
29 pts26% wins
7W · 8D · 12L · 27 played
For24
Against34
Utrera
27 pts26% wins
7W · 6D · 14L · 27 played
For32
Against44
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tomares offensive edge
Tomares faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7 - Utrera offensive edge
Utrera's attack (67%) vs Tomares's defense (60%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Tomareslow scoring
Utreracold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Tomares60%
0Draws
2Utrera40%