Goal expectancy
1.75Expected goals1.15
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Tona
Estimated win chances: Tona 51.4%, draw 23.6%, Peralada 25%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
66BuildingTona
Weighted momentum
Tona carries the sharper recent run (+27 momentum).
39Cold spellPeralada
Tona · hot formPeralada · low scoring · cold form
Tona
3W · 0D · 1LRecent →LWWW
Momentum index
Peralada
1W · 1D · 2LRecent →DWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTona +5
Tona
9 pts75% wins
3W · 0D · 1L · 4 played
For10
Against5
Peralada
4 pts25% wins
1W · 1D · 2L · 4 played
For4
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tona offensive edge
Tona's attack (71%) vs Peralada's defense (50%).
+21 - Peralada offensive edge
Peralada runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Tonahot form
Peraladalow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Tona50%
0Draws
1Peralada50%