Goal expectancy
1.51Expected goals1.16
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Tona
Estimated win chances: Tona 45.3%, draw 25.5%, Peralada 29.2%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
36Cold spellTona
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
40MixedPeralada
Tona · High-risk / fragilePeralada · low scoring
Tona
2W · 1D · 2LRecent →LDLWW
Momentum index
Peralada
1W · 3D · 1LRecent →LWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTona +1
Tona
7 pts40% wins
2W · 1D · 2L · 5 played
For9
Against9
Peralada
6 pts20% wins
1W · 3D · 1L · 5 played
For3
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tona offensive edge
Tona's attack (75%) vs Peralada's defense (64%).
+11 - Peralada offensive edge
Peralada runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
TonaHigh-risk / fragile
Peraladalow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Tona50%
1Draws
1Peralada25%