Goal expectancy
1.41Expected goals1.40
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Torns 37.6%, draw 25.2%, Ariana 37.2%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
61BuildingTorns
Weighted momentum
Torns carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).
43MixedAriana
Torns
5W · 2D · 2LRecent →LWWDWDWLW
Momentum index
Ariana
4W · 2D · 3LRecent →LLDWDWWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTorns +3
Torns
17 pts56% wins
5W · 2D · 2L · 9 played
For11
Against13
Ariana
14 pts44% wins
4W · 2D · 3L · 9 played
For17
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Torns offensive edge
Torns's attack (53%) vs Ariana's defense (50%).
+3 - Ariana offensive edge
Ariana runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Torns50%
1Draws
0Ariana0%