Tottenham 5-0 Newcastle Prediction

TottenhamTottenham
5 — 0FT
NewcastleNewcastle
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

TottenhamTottenhamvsNewcastleNewcastle

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Tottenham

Estimated win chances: Tottenham 49.5%, draw 24.2%, Newcastle 26.3%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.67Expected goals1.15

From 24 and 24 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 0–17.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

68Hot streakTottenham
Weighted momentum

Tottenham carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).

57BuildingNewcastle
Tottenham · hot form

Tottenham

15W · 5D · 4L
Recent →DWLDWWDWDWLWWWWWWDWWWWLL
Momentum index

Newcastle

12W · 6D · 6L
Recent →WWLWWLWLDLLDLWWWDWWDDWWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapTottenham +8

Tottenham

50 pts
63% wins

15W · 5D · 4L · 24 played

For
44
Against
25
Goal diff +19

Newcastle

42 pts
50% wins

12W · 6D · 6L · 24 played

For
36
Against
31
Goal diff +5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Tottenham offensive edge

    Tottenham faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -1
  • Newcastle offensive edge

    Newcastle's attack (56%) vs Tottenham's defense (55%).

    +1

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Tottenham44
Newcastle56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Tottenham55
Newcastle45

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Tottenham68
Newcastle57

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Tottenham48
Newcastle52

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Tottenham30
Newcastle30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Tottenham40
Newcastle60

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Tottenham71
Newcastle29
Tottenhamhot form