Touring 2-1 Derio Prediction

TouringTouring
2 — 1FT
DerioDerio
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

TouringTouringvsDerioDerio

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Touring

Estimated win chances: Touring 43.6%, draw 24.9%, Derio 31.5%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.55Expected goals1.28

From 7 and 7 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–27.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

43MixedTouring
Weighted momentum

Touring carries the sharper recent run (+22 momentum).

21Cold spellDerio
Touring · leaky defenseDerio · low scoring · cold form

Touring

2W · 2D · 3L
Recent →LWWDLLD
Momentum index

Derio

2W · 0D · 5L
Recent →LLLLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapTouring +2

Touring

8 pts
29% wins

2W · 2D · 3L · 7 played

For
9
Against
13
Goal diff -4

Derio

6 pts
29% wins

2W · 0D · 5L · 7 played

For
7
Against
11
Goal diff -4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Touring offensive edge

    Touring's attack (62%) vs Derio's defense (55%).

    +7
  • Derio offensive edge

    Derio runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -7

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Touring62
Derio38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Touring45
Derio55

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Touring43
Derio21

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Touring64
Derio36

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Touring39
Derio32

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Touring70
Derio30

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Touring0
Derio0
Touringleaky defense
Deriolow scoring · cold form