Goal expectancy
1.38Expected goals0.95
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Touring
Estimated win chances: Touring 46.8%, draw 27.3%, Durango 25.9%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingTouring
Weighted momentum
Touring carries the sharper recent run (+38 momentum).
22Cold spellDurango
Touring · compact defenseDurango · cold form
Touring
4W · 3D · 1LRecent →DWDLWWWD
Momentum index
Durango
1W · 4D · 3LRecent →LDDLLDDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTouring +8
Touring
15 pts50% wins
4W · 3D · 1L · 8 played
For9
Against5
Durango
7 pts13% wins
1W · 4D · 3L · 8 played
For9
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Touring offensive edge
Touring's attack (50%) vs Durango's defense (33%).
+17 - Durango offensive edge
Durango runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Touringcompact defense
Durangocold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Touring25%
1Draws
2Durango50%