Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.33
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Touring 38.8%, draw 25.6%, Leioa 35.6%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellTouring
Weighted momentum
Leioa arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
52BuildingLeioa
Touring · High-risk / fragile
Touring
4W · 6D · 7LRecent →DWLLDDDLLWLWWDLLD
Momentum index
Leioa
7W · 3D · 7LRecent →LWWDDWLWWLWLLLWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLeioa +6
Touring
18 pts24% wins
4W · 6D · 7L · 17 played
For21
Against30
Leioa
24 pts41% wins
7W · 3D · 7L · 17 played
For20
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Touring offensive edge
Touring faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-17 - Leioa offensive edge
Leioa's attack (50%) vs Touring's defense (33%).
+17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
TouringHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Touring67%
1Draws
0Leioa0%