Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.65
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Drita
Estimated win chances: Trepça'89 34.8%, draw 23.6%, Drita 41.6%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellTrepça'89
Weighted momentum
Drita arrives with stronger form weighting (+33 momentum).
68Hot streakDrita
Trepça'89 · High-risk / fragileDrita · hot form
Trepça'89
4W · 7D · 7LRecent →DLLWWLDLDLDWDWLLDD
Momentum index
Drita
11W · 5D · 2LRecent →WWDDLWLWWWDWWWWDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDrita +19
Trepça'89
19 pts22% wins
4W · 7D · 7L · 18 played
For28
Against35
Drita
38 pts61% wins
11W · 5D · 2L · 18 played
For36
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Trepça'89 offensive edge
Trepça'89 faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Drita offensive edge
Drita's attack (67%) vs Trepça'89's defense (56%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Trepça'89High-risk / fragile
Dritahot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Trepça'8938%
1Draws
4Drita50%