Goal expectancy
1.85Expected goals1.44
From 11 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Tucson
Estimated win chances: Tucson 47.3%, draw 22.6%, Capo 30.1%. From 11 and 10 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
59BuildingTucson
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
61BuildingCapo
Tucson · compact defenseCapo · leaky defense
Tucson
5W · 4D · 2LRecent →WWLWDDDLDWW
Momentum index
Capo
5W · 2D · 3LRecent →WWWLDDLWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Tucson
19 pts45% wins
5W · 4D · 2L · 11 played
For17
Against10
Capo
17 pts50% wins
5W · 2D · 3L · 10 played
For25
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tucson offensive edge
Tucson's attack (41%) vs Capo's defense (32%).
+9 - Capo offensive edge
Capo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Tucsoncompact defense
Capoleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Tucson25%
2Draws
1Capo25%