Goal expectancy
1.61Expected goals1.01
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Tuilla
Estimated win chances: Tuilla 51.4%, draw 24.9%, Colunga 23.8%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
56BuildingTuilla
Weighted momentum
Tuilla carries the sharper recent run (+13 momentum).
43MixedColunga
Colunga · low scoring
Tuilla
8W · 7D · 3LRecent →LWWDWDDLWDWDDWLWWD
Momentum index
Colunga
6W · 5D · 7LRecent →LDDDWLWWDLLWLWDWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTuilla +8
Tuilla
31 pts44% wins
8W · 7D · 3L · 18 played
For35
Against22
Colunga
23 pts33% wins
6W · 5D · 7L · 18 played
For16
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tuilla offensive edge
Tuilla's attack (83%) vs Colunga's defense (62%).
+21 - Colunga offensive edge
Colunga runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Colungalow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Tuilla20%
2Draws
2Colunga40%