Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals0.95
From 31 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Tuilla
Estimated win chances: Tuilla 50.8%, draw 25.8%, Lenense 23.5%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedTuilla
Weighted momentum
Tuilla carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).
27Cold spellLenense
Tuilla · low scoringLenense · High-risk / fragile
Tuilla
11W · 7D · 13LRecent →WDDWLLLWWLDLDLWWDWWLWDLLDLLLLWW
Momentum index
Lenense
7W · 7D · 17LRecent →DLWLLLLDWLLWDDLLDLLDLLDLLWWLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTuilla +12
Tuilla
40 pts35% wins
11W · 7D · 13L · 31 played
For29
Against34
Lenense
28 pts23% wins
7W · 7D · 17L · 31 played
For28
Against59
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tuilla offensive edge
Tuilla's attack (67%) vs Lenense's defense (38%).
+29 - Lenense offensive edge
Lenense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-29
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Tuillalow scoring
LenenseHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Tuilla14%
4Draws
2Lenense29%