Goal expectancy
1.46Expected goals1.45
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Tuilla 37.9%, draw 24.7%, Lenense 37.4%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
5Cold spellTuilla
Weighted momentum
Lenense arrives with stronger form weighting (+19 momentum).
24Cold spellLenense
Tuilla · High-risk / fragileLenense · High-risk / fragile
Tuilla
0W · 1D · 5LRecent →LLLDLL
Momentum index
Lenense
1W · 3D · 2LRecent →LLDDDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLenense +5
Tuilla
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 5L · 6 played
For5
Against14
Lenense
6 pts17% wins
1W · 3D · 2L · 6 played
For8
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Tuilla offensive edge
Tuilla faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Lenense offensive edge
Lenense's attack (55%) vs Tuilla's defense (43%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
TuillaHigh-risk / fragile
LenenseHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Tuilla13%
4Draws
3Lenense38%