Goal expectancy
1.05Expected goals1.24
From 6 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Dundalk
Estimated win chances: Ucd 31.2%, draw 28.3%, Dundalk 40.6%. From 6 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
34Cold spellUcd
Weighted momentum
Dundalk arrives with stronger form weighting (+56 momentum).
90Hot streakDundalk
Ucd · Structured / conservativeDundalk · compact defense · hot form
Ucd
1W · 3D · 2LRecent →LWDLDD
Momentum index
Dundalk
6W · 1D · 0LRecent →WWWDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Ucd
6 pts17% wins
1W · 3D · 2L · 6 played
For4
Against5
Dundalk
19 pts86% wins
6W · 1D · 0L · 7 played
For13
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ucd offensive edge
Ucd faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-29 - Dundalk offensive edge
Dundalk's attack (79%) vs Ucd's defense (50%).
+29
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
UcdStructured / conservative
Dundalkcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Ucd40%
1Draws
2Dundalk40%