Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.26
From 20 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Ucsa 42.6%, draw 25.4%, Druzhba 32.1%. From 20 and 19 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.49Expected goals1.26
From 20 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
13W · 6D · 1L · 20 played
14W · 3D · 2L · 19 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Ucsa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10Druzhba's attack (60%) vs Ucsa's defense (50%).
+10Comparison indices from the match data partner.
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.