UCSA 0-1 Druzhba Prediction

UCSAUCSA
0 — 1FT
DruzhbaDruzhba

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Ucsa

Estimated win chances: Ucsa 42.6%, draw 25.4%, Druzhba 32.1%. From 20 and 19 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.49Expected goals1.26

From 20 and 19 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 1–27.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

73Hot streakUcsa
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

74Hot streakDruzhba
Ucsa · compact defense · hot formDruzhba · compact defense · hot form

Ucsa

13W · 6D · 1L
Recent →WDDDWWDWWWWWLDWWWWWD
Momentum index

Druzhba

14W · 3D · 2L
Recent →DWWWDLWDWWWWWLWWWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Ucsa

45 pts
65% wins

13W · 6D · 1L · 20 played

For
43
Against
10
Goal diff +33

Druzhba

45 pts
74% wins

14W · 3D · 2L · 19 played

For
43
Against
10
Goal diff +33

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ucsa offensive edge

    Ucsa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -10
  • Druzhba offensive edge

    Druzhba's attack (60%) vs Ucsa's defense (50%).

    +10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ucsa40
Druzhba60

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ucsa50
Druzhba50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ucsa73
Druzhba74

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ucsa30
Druzhba70

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ucsa30
Druzhba30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ucsa45
Druzhba55

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ucsa0
Druzhba100
Ucsacompact defense · hot form
Druzhbacompact defense · hot form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Ucsa100%
0Draws
0Druzhba0%

Recent meetings